Derivatives: futures, perps & options
The instruments that dominate crypto volume — perps and funding, basis and carry, and an honest survey of options.
Perpetual swaps & funding
A perpetual swap is a futures contract that never expires — you can hold a leveraged long or short indefinitely. Without an expiry to force convergence, something else must tether its price to spot: the funding rate.
Every funding interval (typically 8h), one side pays the other. Perp trading above spot → longs pay shorts (an incentive to sell the perp); below spot → shorts pay longs. Persistent positive funding means leveraged longs are paying a rolling fee to stay crowded — a real cost, and a sentiment gauge.
What anchors a perpetual swap's price to spot, given it never expires?
Funding has been strongly positive for two weeks. What does that tell you?
Basis & the carry trade
A dated future expires on a fixed date, when its price must equal spot. Until then it trades at a gap — the basis. Futures above spot = contango (the norm in bull markets, when leverage demand is high); below spot = backwardation (fear).
Because the basis must decay to zero at expiry, it is a harvestable yield: buy spot, short the future against it, and the gap converges to you regardless of price direction. This cash-and-carry trade is the market-neutral workhorse of crypto funds — its return is set by the annualized basis, its risks are exchange failure and margin management, not direction.
Why does the cash-and-carry trade (long spot + short future) earn the basis regardless of price direction?
Options: an honest survey
A call is the right (not obligation) to buy at a strike price; a put, the right to sell. The premium you pay is priced mainly by distance to the strike, time remaining, and — crucially — implied volatility (IV): the market's forecast of how much movement to expect.
The beginner trap: buying options is a bet on *more movement than the market already expects*, on a deadline. Be right on direction but slow — you lose to theta (time decay). Be right after IV collapses — you lose too. Most retail option buyers lose not because direction was wrong, but because the premium already priced their scenario in.
| Term | Meaning | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Strike | The price the option converts at | Distance to strike drives the premium |
| Premium | What you pay for the option | Your max loss as a buyer — and the hurdle to profit |
| Theta | Value lost per day to time | The rent you pay while waiting to be right |
| IV | Market-implied future volatility | High IV = expensive options; buying high IV needs a huge move |
| Delta | Price sensitivity to the underlying | Rough proxy for probability of finishing in the money |
Why can an option buyer be right on direction and still lose money?
Liquidation heatmap
Liquidation levels depend on entry, size, leverage, maintenance-margin tier, mark-price methodology, collateral, fees, and other positions. Public heatmaps infer parts of that distribution from observable data and vendor models; they cannot see every account or guarantee that displayed liquidity still exists.
What is the safest interpretation of a dense cluster on a liquidation map?
OI + price divergence
Pairing the direction of open interest with the direction of price helps distinguish expanding from contracting derivative exposure. Cycle the scenarios below and watch how the same price move has different candidate explanations depending on what OI is doing.
OI is aggregate outstanding contracts, not a label for longs or shorts—every contract has both. Combine it with spot/perp volume, basis, funding, liquidations, venue coverage, and timing. Even then, the interpretation is probabilistic rather than a direct view of participant intent.
Price rises while open interest falls. What is the most defensible first interpretation?
Mark price, index price & margin modes
Derivative venues commonly separate last price (the latest contract trade), index price (a multi-market spot reference), and mark price (a fair-price calculation used for unrealized P&L and liquidation). A brief contract print may not trigger liquidation if the mark does not follow it; conversely, watching only last price can hide how close the mark is to maintenance margin.
Isolated margin confines allocated collateral to one position. Cross margin shares eligible collateral across positions, which can delay one liquidation but allows one loss to consume funds supporting the rest of the account. Venue formulas, tiers, fees, and auto-deleveraging rules differ—read the exact contract specification.
Why can cross margin increase account-level loss even if it delays one position's liquidation?
Option Greeks: the risks behind the payoff chart
Delta estimates price sensitivity to the underlying. Gamma measures how delta changes, making near-expiry exposure highly nonlinear. Theta estimates time decay, while vega measures sensitivity to implied volatility. Greeks are local model sensitivities, not fixed guarantees across a large move.
A long call can lose despite a price rise if the move is too small or late, or if implied volatility collapses. A short option can collect theta repeatedly and still suffer a tail loss when gamma and volatility expand. Evaluate the portfolio of sensitivities, liquidity, expiry, and settlement—not only the terminal payoff picture.
The underlying rises, but a long call loses value after an event. Which combination can explain it?
Implied volatility, skew & term structure
Implied volatility (IV) is the volatility input that reconciles a pricing model with the market premium. Different strikes form a smile or skew, reflecting asymmetric demand and tail pricing. Different expiries form a term structure, which can rise around scheduled events or stress.
Compare IV with a clearly defined realized-volatility estimate, but do not call one 'cheap' solely because it is lower or higher. The premium also reflects jumps, skew, liquidity, funding, hedging costs, and the distribution the market fears. Position construction must specify which part of the surface it expresses.
What does option skew describe?